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Jingwei Textile Machinery Company Limited (000666.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.58 - $40.66$29.32
Multi-Stage$33.86 - $37.18$35.48
Blended Fair Value$32.40
Current Price$9.37
Upside245.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2022202120202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-21.53%10.70%0.570.740.630.640.921.930.910.410.380.32
YoY Growth---22.19%17.88%-2.37%-30.14%-52.44%112.10%121.79%6.55%21.00%53.18%
Dividend Yield--6.12%7.72%8.10%6.79%6.35%10.54%3.96%2.02%1.86%3.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,002.70
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)402.83
(=) Cash Retained (M)599.87
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)200.54125.3475.20
Cash Retained (M)599.87599.87599.87
(-) Cash Required (M)-200.54-125.34-75.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)399.33474.53524.67
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)704.23704.23704.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.570.670.75
LTM Dividend per Share0.570.570.57
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.570.670.75
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.141.251.32
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.20%2.20%3.20%
Fair Value$21.58$29.32$40.66
Upside / Downside130.26%212.91%333.96%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,002.701,024.731,047.241,070.251,093.761,117.791,151.33
Payout Ratio40.17%50.14%60.10%70.07%80.03%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)402.83513.79629.44749.92875.391,006.011,064.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate1.20%2.20%3.20%
Year 1 PV (M)477.54482.26486.98
Year 2 PV (M)543.74554.54565.45
Year 3 PV (M)602.10620.13638.51
Year 4 PV (M)653.25679.45706.44
Year 5 PV (M)697.75732.91769.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)20,868.0321,919.6723,013.29
Equity Value (M)23,842.4124,988.9626,180.13
Shares Outstanding (M)704.23704.23704.23
Fair Value$33.86$35.48$37.18
Upside / Downside261.32%278.70%296.75%

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