Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Guangdong Shunna Electric Co., Ltd (000533.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.72 - $0.98$0.85
Multi-Stage$1.38 - $1.53$1.45
Blended Fair Value$1.15
Current Price$6.73
Upside-82.87%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-26.92%-21.80%0.010.020.020.030.030.040.110.100.070.12
YoY Growth---48.46%-31.51%-15.09%-13.93%-19.22%-62.80%15.52%30.20%-38.90%20.02%
Dividend Yield--0.13%0.41%0.59%0.69%1.05%1.57%3.00%0.99%0.64%1.26%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)103.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.02
(=) Cash Retained (M)99.25
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)20.6612.917.75
Cash Retained (M)99.2599.2599.25
(-) Cash Required (M)-20.66-12.91-7.75
(=) Excess Retained (M)78.6086.3491.51
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)691.22691.22691.22
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.110.120.13
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.120.130.14
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-6.65%-5.65%-4.65%
Fair Value$0.72$0.85$0.98
Upside / Downside-89.28%-87.33%-85.46%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)103.2897.4491.9386.7381.8377.2079.52
Payout Ratio3.89%21.12%38.34%55.56%72.78%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.0220.5835.2448.1959.5669.4873.56

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.81%8.81%8.81%
Growth Rate-6.65%-5.65%-4.65%
Year 1 PV (M)18.7118.9119.11
Year 2 PV (M)29.1429.7730.40
Year 3 PV (M)36.2337.4138.61
Year 4 PV (M)40.7142.4944.32
Year 5 PV (M)43.1945.5648.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)787.19830.26875.21
Equity Value (M)955.171,004.391,055.67
Shares Outstanding (M)691.22691.22691.22
Fair Value$1.38$1.45$1.53
Upside / Downside-79.47%-78.41%-77.31%

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