Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Zhuhai Huajin Capital Co., Ltd. (000532.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.18 - $35.30$21.25
Multi-Stage$13.40 - $14.69$14.03
Blended Fair Value$17.64
Current Price$14.71
Upside19.92%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-16.99%5.63%0.120.150.180.190.200.310.170.220.080.07
YoY Growth---19.91%-15.08%-9.07%-2.36%-34.72%76.79%-20.20%165.98%8.96%7.25%
Dividend Yield--0.77%1.34%1.56%1.63%1.89%3.08%1.38%1.50%0.47%0.45%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)223.83
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)33.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)190.84
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)44.7727.9816.79
Cash Retained (M)190.84190.84190.84
(-) Cash Required (M)-44.77-27.98-16.79
(=) Excess Retained (M)146.07162.86174.05
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.420.470.51
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.520.570.60
WACC / Discount Rate7.43%7.43%7.43%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Fair Value$14.18$21.25$35.30
Upside / Downside-3.62%44.47%139.95%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)223.83234.19245.03256.36268.23280.64289.06
Payout Ratio14.74%29.79%44.84%59.90%74.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)33.0069.77109.88153.55201.03252.58267.38

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.43%7.43%7.43%
Growth Rate3.63%4.63%5.63%
Year 1 PV (M)64.3364.9565.57
Year 2 PV (M)93.4095.2297.05
Year 3 PV (M)120.34123.86127.45
Year 4 PV (M)145.26150.95156.81
Year 5 PV (M)168.27176.55185.15
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,025.364,223.374,429.09
Equity Value (M)4,616.974,834.905,061.11
Shares Outstanding (M)344.63344.63344.63
Fair Value$13.40$14.03$14.69
Upside / Downside-8.93%-4.63%-0.17%

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