Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Yunding Technology Co.,Ltd. (000409.SZ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ConglomeratesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$0.64 - $0.92$0.78
Multi-Stage$1.00 - $1.10$1.05
Blended Fair Value$0.91
Current Price$11.24
Upside-91.89%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.010.010.070.100.290.410.400.17
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-14.66%-88.25%-26.10%-66.17%-29.96%4.38%126.89%122.22%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.07%0.14%1.51%2.35%4.88%7.06%3.12%1.85%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)62.61
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)12.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)50.49
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.527.834.70
Cash Retained (M)50.4950.4950.49
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.52-7.83-4.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)37.9642.6645.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)669.41669.41669.41
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.070.080.09
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$0.64$0.78$0.92
Upside / Downside-94.29%-93.09%-91.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)62.6161.9961.3760.7560.1559.5561.33
Payout Ratio19.37%33.49%47.62%61.75%75.87%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)12.1320.7629.2237.5145.6453.5956.73

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.43%9.43%9.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)18.7818.9719.17
Year 2 PV (M)23.9124.4024.90
Year 3 PV (M)27.7728.6329.50
Year 4 PV (M)30.5631.8333.13
Year 5 PV (M)32.4634.1535.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)534.54562.37591.36
Equity Value (M)668.03700.36733.97
Shares Outstanding (M)669.41669.41669.41
Fair Value$1.00$1.05$1.10
Upside / Downside-91.12%-90.69%-90.25%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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