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HITEJINRO Co., Ltd. (000080.KS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Beverages - Wineries & DistilleriesSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21,299.20 - $43,284.72$29,775.95
Multi-Stage$33,195.69 - $36,432.56$34,783.34
Blended Fair Value$32,279.64
Current Price$19,050.00
Upside69.45%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.49%-1.25%949.19949.19799.44749.53699.62799.44799.44899.27999.10999.10
YoY Growth--0.00%18.73%6.66%7.13%-12.49%0.00%-11.10%-9.99%0.00%-7.22%
Dividend Yield--4.94%4.56%3.57%2.00%1.90%2.98%4.36%4.01%4.91%3.46%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)87,043.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)48,730.85
(=) Cash Retained (M)38,312.72
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)17,408.7110,880.456,528.27
Cash Retained (M)38,312.7238,312.7238,312.72
(-) Cash Required (M)-17,408.71-10,880.45-6,528.27
(=) Excess Retained (M)20,904.0127,432.2831,784.46
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)69.6569.6569.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share300.11393.84456.32
LTM Dividend per Share699.62699.62699.62
(+) Excess Retained per Share300.11393.84456.32
(=) Adjusted Dividend999.731,093.451,155.94
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Fair Value$21,299.20$29,775.95$43,284.72
Upside / Downside11.81%56.30%127.22%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)87,043.5789,213.9491,438.4293,718.3796,055.1798,450.24101,403.75
Payout Ratio55.98%62.79%69.59%76.39%83.20%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)48,730.8556,015.2463,632.6071,595.0079,914.9188,605.2193,798.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.26%6.26%6.26%
Growth Rate1.49%2.49%3.49%
Year 1 PV (M)52,202.2852,716.6253,230.97
Year 2 PV (M)55,264.5056,358.8957,464.01
Year 3 PV (M)57,947.2159,676.9861,440.83
Year 4 PV (M)60,278.2962,689.2965,171.90
Year 5 PV (M)62,283.8865,413.3268,667.30
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,024,228.042,125,934.722,231,689.10
Equity Value (M)2,312,204.212,422,789.822,537,664.10
Shares Outstanding (M)69.6569.6569.65
Fair Value$33,195.69$34,783.34$36,432.56
Upside / Downside74.26%82.59%91.25%

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