Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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PT Zyrexindo Mandiri Buana Tbk (ZYRX.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$82.99 - $119.33$100.73
Multi-Stage$130.24 - $143.25$136.62
Blended Fair Value$118.68
Current Price$156.00
Upside-23.93%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020201920182017
DPS0.00%0.00%4.647.917.850.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---41.39%0.82%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.93%5.35%2.53%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)15,726.24
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,493.95
(=) Cash Retained (M)14,232.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)3,145.251,965.781,179.47
Cash Retained (M)14,232.2914,232.2914,232.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-3,145.25-1,965.78-1,179.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)11,087.0412,266.5113,052.82
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,333.331,333.331,333.33
(=) Excess Retained per Share8.329.209.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.121.121.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share8.329.209.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.4410.3210.91
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$82.99$100.73$119.33
Upside / Downside-46.80%-35.43%-23.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)15,726.2415,568.9715,413.2815,259.1515,106.5614,955.4915,404.16
Payout Ratio9.50%25.60%41.70%57.80%73.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,493.953,985.626,427.318,819.7711,163.7413,459.9414,248.85

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.14%9.14%9.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)3,614.863,651.753,688.63
Year 2 PV (M)5,287.145,395.595,505.14
Year 3 PV (M)6,580.276,783.776,991.43
Year 4 PV (M)7,554.267,867.358,190.07
Year 5 PV (M)8,260.788,690.949,138.83
PV of Terminal Value (M)142,359.72149,772.72157,491.36
Equity Value (M)173,657.03182,162.12191,005.47
Shares Outstanding (M)1,333.331,333.331,333.33
Fair Value$130.24$136.62$143.25
Upside / Downside-16.51%-12.42%-8.17%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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