Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Wallenstam AB (publ) (WALL-B.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$29.27 - $46.65$37.16
Multi-Stage$84.13 - $92.85$88.40
Blended Fair Value$62.78
Current Price$43.66
Upside43.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-11.79%-0.27%0.500.610.610.600.250.940.900.860.760.58
YoY Growth---16.96%-0.25%1.02%141.98%-73.62%5.32%4.86%11.87%32.18%11.57%
Dividend Yield--1.17%1.20%1.55%0.88%0.42%1.67%1.90%2.26%2.12%1.65%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,874.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)326.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,548.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)374.80234.25140.55
Cash Retained (M)1,548.001,548.001,548.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-374.80-234.25-140.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,173.201,313.751,407.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)650.16650.16650.16
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.802.022.16
LTM Dividend per Share0.500.500.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.802.022.16
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.312.522.67
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Fair Value$29.27$37.16$46.65
Upside / Downside-32.97%-14.88%6.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,874.001,850.191,826.691,803.491,780.581,757.961,810.69
Payout Ratio17.40%31.92%46.44%60.96%75.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)326.00590.52848.271,099.381,343.961,582.161,674.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate5.43%5.43%5.43%
Growth Rate-2.27%-1.27%-0.27%
Year 1 PV (M)554.43560.11565.78
Year 2 PV (M)747.76763.14778.68
Year 3 PV (M)909.89938.11966.90
Year 4 PV (M)1,044.351,087.751,132.50
Year 5 PV (M)1,154.311,214.591,277.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)50,285.3752,911.2455,645.68
Equity Value (M)54,696.1257,474.9460,366.89
Shares Outstanding (M)650.16650.16650.16
Fair Value$84.13$88.40$92.85
Upside / Downside92.69%102.48%112.66%

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