Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VZ Holding AG (VZN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$564.34 - $2,163.96$1,616.38
Multi-Stage$270.07 - $295.32$282.47
Blended Fair Value$949.42
Current Price$173.60
Upside446.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS18.24%14.23%2.271.731.571.231.020.980.870.840.850.70
YoY Growth--30.98%10.52%26.78%21.32%3.80%12.29%3.42%-0.16%20.45%17.18%
Dividend Yield--1.57%1.76%2.18%1.26%1.26%1.64%1.65%1.28%1.38%1.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)430.16
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)196.10
(=) Cash Retained (M)234.06
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)86.0353.7732.26
Cash Retained (M)234.06234.06234.06
(-) Cash Required (M)-86.03-53.77-32.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)148.03180.29201.80
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)39.5339.5339.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.744.565.10
LTM Dividend per Share4.964.964.96
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.744.565.10
(=) Adjusted Dividend8.709.5210.06
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$564.34$1,616.38$2,163.96
Upside / Downside225.08%831.09%1,146.52%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)430.16458.12487.90519.61553.39589.36607.04
Payout Ratio45.59%54.47%63.35%72.24%81.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)196.10249.54309.10375.34448.90530.42561.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)230.75232.94235.13
Year 2 PV (M)264.30269.34274.42
Year 3 PV (M)296.78305.30313.98
Year 4 PV (M)328.21340.84353.82
Year 5 PV (M)358.62375.94393.93
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,198.249,642.5210,103.80
Equity Value (M)10,676.9111,166.8811,675.08
Shares Outstanding (M)39.5339.5339.53
Fair Value$270.07$282.47$295.32
Upside / Downside55.57%62.71%70.12%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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