Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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VIEL & Cie, S.A. (VIL.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$189.30 - $612.63$574.12
Multi-Stage$79.71 - $87.29$83.43
Blended Fair Value$328.77
Current Price$15.30
Upside2,048.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.91%19.61%0.380.340.290.280.250.260.220.190.170.16
YoY Growth--13.20%15.18%5.64%11.01%-4.28%18.36%16.24%13.52%5.07%149.55%
Dividend Yield--3.33%3.98%4.98%4.78%4.22%5.57%5.27%3.55%3.86%4.59%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)202.46
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)25.20
(=) Cash Retained (M)177.27
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.4925.3115.18
Cash Retained (M)177.27177.27177.27
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.49-25.31-15.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)136.77151.96162.08
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)65.7265.7265.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
LTM Dividend per Share0.380.380.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.082.312.47
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.462.702.85
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$189.30$574.12$612.63
Upside / Downside1,137.28%3,652.42%3,904.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)202.46215.62229.64244.56260.46277.39285.71
Payout Ratio12.44%27.96%43.47%58.98%74.49%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)25.2060.2899.82144.24194.01249.65264.28

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)55.8756.4056.93
Year 2 PV (M)85.7687.3989.04
Year 3 PV (M)114.86118.16121.52
Year 4 PV (M)143.21148.71154.38
Year 5 PV (M)170.80179.05187.62
PV of Terminal Value (M)4,668.144,893.615,127.71
Equity Value (M)5,238.645,483.335,737.20
Shares Outstanding (M)65.7265.7265.72
Fair Value$79.71$83.43$87.29
Upside / Downside420.95%445.29%470.53%

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