Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Industry

Sector

Vidli Restaurants Limited (VIDLI.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: RestaurantsSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.93 - $102.01$95.60
Multi-Stage$15.77 - $17.25$16.50
Blended Fair Value$56.05
Current Price$74.67
Upside-24.94%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.500.000.000.000.000.000.240.120.250.03
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%100.94%-52.21%620.60%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.76%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.90%0.17%1.93%0.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)5.57
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2.71
(=) Cash Retained (M)2.86
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1.110.700.42
Cash Retained (M)2.862.862.86
(-) Cash Required (M)-1.11-0.70-0.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)1.752.172.45
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)10.8610.8610.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.23
LTM Dividend per Share0.250.250.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.160.200.23
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.93$95.60$102.01
Upside / Downside-33.14%28.02%36.61%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)5.575.936.326.737.177.637.86
Payout Ratio48.58%56.87%65.15%73.43%81.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2.713.374.124.945.866.877.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.37%6.37%6.37%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)3.143.173.20
Year 2 PV (M)3.573.643.71
Year 3 PV (M)3.994.114.22
Year 4 PV (M)4.414.584.75
Year 5 PV (M)4.815.055.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)151.32158.63166.21
Equity Value (M)171.24179.16187.38
Shares Outstanding (M)10.8610.8610.86
Fair Value$15.77$16.50$17.25
Upside / Downside-78.89%-77.91%-76.90%

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