Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Vend Marketplaces ASA (VEND.OL)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: PublishingSector: Communication Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,966.02 - $6,777.51$6,351.52
Multi-Stage$1,095.85 - $1,199.30$1,146.62
Blended Fair Value$3,749.07
Current Price$355.00
Upside956.08%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS112.05%49.13%89.252.002.042.040.002.081.821.731.731.64
YoY Growth--4,355.56%-1.92%0.00%0.00%-100.00%14.39%5.30%0.00%5.32%0.00%
Dividend Yield--27.65%0.62%0.63%0.63%0.00%0.64%0.56%0.54%0.54%0.51%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)7,809.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)3,867.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,942.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)1,561.80976.13585.68
Cash Retained (M)3,942.003,942.003,942.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-1,561.80-976.13-585.68
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,380.202,965.883,356.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)229.14229.14229.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.3912.9414.65
LTM Dividend per Share16.8816.8816.88
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.3912.9414.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend27.2629.8231.52
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,966.02$6,351.52$6,777.51
Upside / Downside1,017.19%1,689.16%1,809.16%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)7,809.008,316.598,857.169,432.8810,046.0210,699.0111,019.98
Payout Ratio49.52%57.62%65.71%73.81%81.90%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)3,867.004,791.675,820.216,962.218,228.089,629.1110,193.48

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.23%6.23%6.23%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)4,468.504,510.864,553.21
Year 2 PV (M)5,061.615,158.025,255.34
Year 3 PV (M)5,646.415,808.505,973.66
Year 4 PV (M)6,222.996,462.316,708.47
Year 5 PV (M)6,791.447,119.477,460.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)222,913.83233,680.65244,859.54
Equity Value (M)251,104.79262,739.81274,810.28
Shares Outstanding (M)229.14229.14229.14
Fair Value$1,095.85$1,146.62$1,199.30
Upside / Downside208.69%222.99%237.83%

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