Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Tekno S.A. Industria e Comercio (TKNO3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SteelSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$271.19 - $577.70$385.59
Multi-Stage$193.90 - $211.99$202.78
Blended Fair Value$294.18
Current Price$99.98
Upside194.24%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%5.24%3.763.685.292.310.170.000.000.000.001.45
YoY Growth--2.20%-30.37%129.09%1,288.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-35.91%
Dividend Yield--3.76%4.42%6.35%2.77%0.20%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.74%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)42.39
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1.51
(=) Cash Retained (M)40.88
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)8.485.303.18
Cash Retained (M)40.8840.8840.88
(-) Cash Required (M)-8.48-5.30-3.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)32.4035.5837.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.952.952.95
(=) Excess Retained per Share10.9912.0712.79
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share10.9912.0712.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5012.5813.30
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$271.19$385.59$577.70
Upside / Downside171.24%285.67%477.81%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)42.3945.1448.0851.2054.5358.0859.82
Payout Ratio3.56%20.85%38.13%55.42%72.71%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1.519.4118.3328.3839.6552.2755.33

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.98%9.98%9.98%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8.488.568.64
Year 2 PV (M)14.8815.1615.45
Year 3 PV (M)20.7421.3421.94
Year 4 PV (M)26.1027.1128.14
Year 5 PV (M)30.9932.4934.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)470.41493.13516.73
Equity Value (M)571.60597.79624.94
Shares Outstanding (M)2.952.952.95
Fair Value$193.90$202.78$211.99
Upside / Downside93.93%102.82%112.03%

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