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Definitive Analysis

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TEAM Consulting Engineering and Management Public Company Limited (TEAMG.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2.43 - $3.79$3.06
Multi-Stage$5.50 - $6.06$5.77
Blended Fair Value$4.42
Current Price$3.30
Upside33.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-92.50%0.00%0.000.010.130.040.150.110.110.150.030.05
YoY Growth---100.00%-92.57%199.91%-70.56%35.83%-3.96%-25.98%431.37%-37.50%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.20%1.28%0.74%6.15%6.00%5.20%7.44%1.40%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)202.47
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)114.25
(=) Cash Retained (M)88.22
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)40.4925.3115.19
Cash Retained (M)88.2288.2288.22
(-) Cash Required (M)-40.49-25.31-15.19
(=) Excess Retained (M)47.7362.9273.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)795.27795.27795.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.060.080.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.200.220.24
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.81%-0.81%0.19%
Fair Value$2.43$3.06$3.79
Upside / Downside-26.31%-7.32%14.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)202.47200.84199.22197.62196.03194.45200.28
Payout Ratio56.43%63.14%69.86%76.57%83.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)114.25126.81139.17151.32163.26175.01185.26

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-1.81%-0.81%0.19%
Year 1 PV (M)117.96119.16120.36
Year 2 PV (M)120.42122.88125.37
Year 3 PV (M)121.79125.55129.39
Year 4 PV (M)122.24127.29132.50
Year 5 PV (M)121.88128.22134.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,772.953,969.014,173.15
Equity Value (M)4,377.244,592.124,815.59
Shares Outstanding (M)795.27795.27795.27
Fair Value$5.50$5.77$6.06
Upside / Downside66.79%74.98%83.49%

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