Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Tasmea Ltd (TEA.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3.45 - $5.34$4.32
Multi-Stage$7.82 - $8.61$8.21
Blended Fair Value$6.27
Current Price$3.70
Upside69.33%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20252024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.090.030.010.020.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--162.52%173.84%-27.96%500.64%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.32%2.16%0.70%0.97%0.16%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)83.42
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.98
(=) Cash Retained (M)51.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.6810.436.26
Cash Retained (M)51.4451.4451.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.68-10.43-6.26
(=) Excess Retained (M)34.7541.0145.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)225.20225.20225.20
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
LTM Dividend per Share0.140.140.14
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.150.180.20
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.300.320.34
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$3.45$4.32$5.34
Upside / Downside-6.78%16.88%44.24%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)83.4282.5981.7680.9480.1379.3381.71
Payout Ratio38.34%48.67%59.00%69.34%79.67%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.9840.2048.2456.1263.8471.4075.58

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)37.3937.7738.15
Year 2 PV (M)41.7442.6043.46
Year 3 PV (M)45.1746.5747.99
Year 4 PV (M)47.7949.7751.82
Year 5 PV (M)49.7252.3155.00
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,538.891,619.031,702.46
Equity Value (M)1,760.701,848.041,938.89
Shares Outstanding (M)225.20225.20225.20
Fair Value$7.82$8.21$8.61
Upside / Downside111.31%121.79%132.69%

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