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Southern Cross Electrical Engineering Limited (SXE.AX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$18.45 - $39.98$37.47
Multi-Stage$6.12 - $6.70$6.41
Blended Fair Value$21.94
Current Price$1.83
Upside1,098.82%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS22.09%15.92%0.070.050.050.050.030.030.030.000.010.02
YoY Growth--50.54%-0.48%0.43%70.89%5.48%0.28%0.00%-100.00%-66.42%46.94%
Dividend Yield--3.92%2.82%7.14%8.07%5.16%6.00%5.07%0.00%1.39%4.29%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)53.59
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.79
(=) Cash Retained (M)21.80
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.726.704.02
Cash Retained (M)21.8021.8021.80
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.72-6.70-4.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)11.0815.1017.78
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)266.52266.52266.52
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.120.120.12
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.040.060.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.160.180.19
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$18.45$37.47$39.98
Upside / Downside908.15%1,947.59%2,084.92%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)53.5957.0760.7864.7368.9473.4275.62
Payout Ratio59.32%65.46%71.59%77.73%83.86%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.7937.3643.5150.3157.8166.0769.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)34.7735.1035.43
Year 2 PV (M)37.7038.4239.15
Year 3 PV (M)40.5841.7542.93
Year 4 PV (M)43.4145.0746.79
Year 5 PV (M)46.1848.4150.72
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,429.481,498.521,570.21
Equity Value (M)1,632.121,707.281,785.24
Shares Outstanding (M)266.52266.52266.52
Fair Value$6.12$6.41$6.70
Upside / Downside234.63%250.04%266.02%

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