Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

STMicroelectronics N.V. (STMMI.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: SemiconductorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$20.02 - $114.31$37.63
Multi-Stage$16.07 - $17.59$16.82
Blended Fair Value$27.23
Current Price$27.98
Upside-2.70%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.12%-2.04%0.310.240.230.220.180.230.230.230.270.38
YoY Growth--29.15%5.19%3.41%22.02%-21.50%-0.93%0.93%-14.74%-28.29%-1.13%
Dividend Yield--1.45%0.58%0.43%0.51%0.48%1.06%1.53%1.05%1.79%6.86%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)535.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)320.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)215.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)107.2067.0040.20
Cash Retained (M)215.21215.21215.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-107.20-67.00-40.20
(=) Excess Retained (M)108.01148.21175.01
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)920.53920.53920.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
LTM Dividend per Share0.350.350.35
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.120.160.19
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.470.510.54
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Fair Value$20.02$37.63$114.31
Upside / Downside-28.46%34.50%308.54%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)535.98563.42592.27622.59654.46687.97708.61
Payout Ratio59.85%65.88%71.91%77.94%83.97%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)320.77371.17425.89485.24549.55619.17655.46

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.54%6.54%6.54%
Growth Rate4.12%5.12%6.12%
Year 1 PV (M)345.06348.38351.69
Year 2 PV (M)368.08375.19382.36
Year 3 PV (M)389.88401.22412.78
Year 4 PV (M)410.49426.49442.95
Year 5 PV (M)429.97451.02472.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,848.1213,477.0814,130.42
Equity Value (M)14,791.6115,479.3716,193.09
Shares Outstanding (M)920.53920.53920.53
Fair Value$16.07$16.82$17.59
Upside / Downside-42.57%-39.90%-37.13%

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