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Sligro Food Group N.V. (SLIGR.AS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Food DistributionSector: Consumer Defensive

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.69 - $10.95$8.59
Multi-Stage$14.48 - $15.89$15.17
Blended Fair Value$11.88
Current Price$14.42
Upside-17.60%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-26.83%-14.60%0.250.470.250.000.001.217.741.151.070.94
YoY Growth---45.83%84.62%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-84.38%572.88%7.27%14.58%-23.81%
Dividend Yield--2.28%2.95%1.56%0.00%0.00%5.04%22.25%2.86%3.24%2.81%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)31.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)6.203.882.33
Cash Retained (M)0.000.000.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-6.20-3.88-2.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)-6.20-3.88-2.33
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)51.2751.2751.27
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.08-0.05
LTM Dividend per Share0.600.600.60
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.12-0.08-0.05
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.480.530.56
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.83%0.17%1.17%
Fair Value$6.69$8.59$10.95
Upside / Downside-53.60%-40.43%-24.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)31.0031.0531.1131.1631.2131.2732.21
Payout Ratio100.00%98.00%96.00%94.00%92.00%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.0030.4329.8629.2928.7228.1429.79

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.34%6.34%6.34%
Growth Rate-0.83%0.17%1.17%
Year 1 PV (M)28.3328.6228.90
Year 2 PV (M)25.8826.4126.94
Year 3 PV (M)23.6324.3625.09
Year 4 PV (M)21.5722.4623.37
Year 5 PV (M)19.6820.6921.75
PV of Terminal Value (M)623.44655.51688.89
Equity Value (M)742.54778.04814.94
Shares Outstanding (M)51.2751.2751.27
Fair Value$14.48$15.17$15.89
Upside / Downside0.43%5.23%10.22%

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