Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Qatar Islamic Bank (Q.P.S.C.) (QIBK.QA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$109.76 - $396.87$347.94
Multi-Stage$50.69 - $55.43$53.02
Blended Fair Value$200.48
Current Price$22.15
Upside805.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS14.29%9.32%0.980.630.580.400.520.500.500.480.420.42
YoY Growth--56.00%8.70%43.75%-23.81%5.00%0.00%5.26%11.76%0.00%6.25%
Dividend Yield--4.74%3.41%3.23%1.68%3.19%3.48%3.32%4.81%4.15%4.10%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,715.36
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,108.99
(=) Cash Retained (M)2,606.37
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)943.07589.42353.65
Cash Retained (M)2,606.372,606.372,606.37
(-) Cash Required (M)-943.07-589.42-353.65
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,663.302,016.952,252.72
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
LTM Dividend per Share0.890.890.89
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.700.850.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.601.751.85
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$109.76$347.94$396.87
Upside / Downside395.54%1,470.84%1,691.72%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,715.365,021.865,348.285,695.926,066.156,460.456,654.26
Payout Ratio44.73%53.78%62.84%71.89%80.95%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,108.992,700.793,360.624,094.824,910.265,814.416,155.19

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,499.602,523.292,546.99
Year 2 PV (M)2,878.582,933.412,988.75
Year 3 PV (M)3,246.183,339.363,434.31
Year 4 PV (M)3,602.643,741.193,883.70
Year 5 PV (M)3,948.224,138.924,336.92
PV of Terminal Value (M)103,598.23108,602.06113,797.40
Equity Value (M)119,773.45125,278.23130,988.07
Shares Outstanding (M)2,362.932,362.932,362.93
Fair Value$50.69$53.02$55.43
Upside / Downside128.84%139.36%150.27%

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