Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Polycab India Limited (POLYCAB.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Electrical Equipment & PartsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$3,140.02 - $6,803.06$4,491.46
Multi-Stage$2,285.77 - $2,496.19$2,389.08
Blended Fair Value$3,440.27
Current Price$7,286.00
Upside-52.78%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS20.26%41.40%29.8919.8613.889.880.0011.880.191.131.171.73
YoY Growth--50.50%43.10%40.42%0.00%-100.00%6,136.56%-83.08%-4.05%-32.25%85.18%
Dividend Yield--0.46%0.29%0.39%0.45%0.00%1.51%0.03%0.17%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)24,618.02
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5,267.73
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,350.29
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)4,923.603,077.251,846.35
Cash Retained (M)19,350.2919,350.2919,350.29
(-) Cash Required (M)-4,923.60-3,077.25-1,846.35
(=) Excess Retained (M)14,426.6916,273.0417,503.94
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)150.94150.94150.94
(=) Excess Retained per Share95.58107.81115.97
LTM Dividend per Share34.9034.9034.90
(+) Excess Retained per Share95.58107.81115.97
(=) Adjusted Dividend130.48142.71150.87
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$3,140.02$4,491.46$6,803.06
Upside / Downside-56.90%-38.35%-6.63%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)24,618.0226,218.1927,922.3729,737.3331,670.2533,728.8234,740.69
Payout Ratio21.40%35.12%48.84%62.56%76.28%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5,267.739,207.3813,636.9318,603.4224,157.9330,355.9432,135.13

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.88%9.88%9.88%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)8,300.508,379.188,457.86
Year 2 PV (M)11,082.9011,294.0011,507.09
Year 3 PV (M)13,630.0714,021.3414,420.02
Year 4 PV (M)15,956.3516,569.9817,201.15
Year 5 PV (M)18,075.3118,948.3519,854.81
PV of Terminal Value (M)277,959.48291,385.02305,324.40
Equity Value (M)345,004.60360,597.87376,765.33
Shares Outstanding (M)150.94150.94150.94
Fair Value$2,285.77$2,389.08$2,496.19
Upside / Downside-68.63%-67.21%-65.74%

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