Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Planisware Promesses (PLNW.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Software - ApplicationSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$6.20 - $8.92$7.53
Multi-Stage$10.12 - $11.10$10.60
Blended Fair Value$9.07
Current Price$23.70
Upside-61.75%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR20242023202220212020
DPS0.00%0.00%0.300.220.190.150.130.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--32.43%18.69%29.77%15.69%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.27%1.12%0.94%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)61.75
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)21.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)39.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)12.357.724.63
Cash Retained (M)39.9739.9739.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-12.35-7.72-4.63
(=) Excess Retained (M)27.6232.2635.34
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)70.1370.1370.13
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.50
LTM Dividend per Share0.310.310.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.390.460.50
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.700.770.81
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$6.20$7.53$8.92
Upside / Downside-73.83%-68.23%-62.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)61.7561.1360.5259.9159.3158.7260.48
Payout Ratio35.26%46.21%57.16%68.10%79.05%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)21.7728.2534.5940.8046.8952.8555.95

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.13%9.13%9.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)25.6225.8826.15
Year 2 PV (M)28.4629.0529.64
Year 3 PV (M)30.4631.4032.36
Year 4 PV (M)31.7533.0634.42
Year 5 PV (M)32.4634.1535.91
PV of Terminal Value (M)560.77589.97620.38
Equity Value (M)709.51743.51778.84
Shares Outstanding (M)70.1370.1370.13
Fair Value$10.12$10.60$11.10
Upside / Downside-57.31%-55.27%-53.14%

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