Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Banco Pine S.A. (PINE3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$16.29 - $27.32$21.13
Multi-Stage$58.14 - $64.20$61.11
Blended Fair Value$41.12
Current Price$8.40
Upside389.55%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.000.000.000.000.000.150.560.180.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-73.00%204.88%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)320.98
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)52.87
(=) Cash Retained (M)268.11
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)64.2040.1224.07
Cash Retained (M)268.11268.11268.11
(-) Cash Required (M)-64.20-40.12-24.07
(=) Excess Retained (M)203.92227.99244.04
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)228.89228.89228.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.891.001.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.891.001.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.121.231.30
WACC / Discount Rate4.75%4.75%4.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$16.29$21.13$27.32
Upside / Downside93.94%151.56%225.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)320.98317.77314.60311.45308.34305.25314.41
Payout Ratio16.47%31.18%45.88%60.59%75.29%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)52.8799.07144.35188.70232.16274.73290.83

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.75%4.75%4.75%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)93.6394.5895.54
Year 2 PV (M)128.91131.55134.23
Year 3 PV (M)159.26164.18169.21
Year 4 PV (M)185.16192.84200.75
Year 5 PV (M)207.07217.85229.08
PV of Terminal Value (M)12,534.2413,186.9313,866.53
Equity Value (M)13,308.2713,987.9414,695.32
Shares Outstanding (M)228.89228.89228.89
Fair Value$58.14$61.11$64.20
Upside / Downside592.18%627.54%664.33%

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