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Definitive Analysis

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Private Equity Holding AG (PEHN.SW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$100.81 - $152.31$125.09
Multi-Stage$200.04 - $220.33$209.99
Blended Fair Value$167.54
Current Price$78.37
Upside113.78%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS0.00%0.00%1.031.031.941.880.980.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---0.08%-46.80%3.46%91.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--1.32%1.46%2.45%2.37%1.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29.08
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)5.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)23.96
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5.823.632.18
Cash Retained (M)23.9623.9623.96
(-) Cash Required (M)-5.82-3.63-2.18
(=) Excess Retained (M)18.1420.3221.77
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2.482.482.48
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.328.208.79
LTM Dividend per Share2.072.072.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.328.208.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend9.3910.2710.86
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$100.81$125.09$152.31
Upside / Downside28.63%59.61%94.35%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29.0828.7928.5028.2127.9327.6528.48
Payout Ratio17.62%32.09%46.57%61.05%75.52%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)5.129.2413.2717.2221.0924.8926.35

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.13%7.13%7.13%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)8.548.628.71
Year 2 PV (M)11.3311.5611.80
Year 3 PV (M)13.5914.0114.44
Year 4 PV (M)15.3816.0216.67
Year 5 PV (M)16.7717.6418.55
PV of Terminal Value (M)430.02452.41475.73
Equity Value (M)495.62520.27545.90
Shares Outstanding (M)2.482.482.48
Fair Value$200.04$209.99$220.33
Upside / Downside155.25%167.94%181.14%

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