Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Pegroco Invest AB (publ) (PEGRO-PREF.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Asset ManagementSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$11.80 - $16.77$14.25
Multi-Stage$17.78 - $19.54$18.64
Blended Fair Value$16.45
Current Price$115.50
Upside-85.76%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202220212020201920182017201620152014
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.600.020.340.340.311.130.080.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%2,713.99%-93.70%0.00%7.36%-72.23%1,227.54%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.49%0.03%0.90%0.28%0.26%1.03%0.09%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)80.23
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)13.23
(=) Cash Retained (M)67.01
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)16.0510.036.02
Cash Retained (M)67.0167.0167.01
(-) Cash Required (M)-16.05-10.03-6.02
(=) Excess Retained (M)50.9656.9860.99
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)45.2345.2345.23
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.131.261.35
LTM Dividend per Share0.290.290.29
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.131.261.35
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.421.551.64
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$11.80$14.25$16.77
Upside / Downside-89.78%-87.66%-85.48%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)80.2379.4378.6477.8577.0776.3078.59
Payout Ratio16.49%31.19%45.89%60.59%75.30%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)13.2324.7736.0947.1758.0368.6772.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.78%9.78%9.78%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)22.3422.5722.79
Year 2 PV (M)29.3429.9430.55
Year 3 PV (M)34.5835.6536.74
Year 4 PV (M)38.3639.9541.59
Year 5 PV (M)40.9343.0645.28
PV of Terminal Value (M)638.80672.07706.70
Equity Value (M)804.36843.24883.66
Shares Outstanding (M)45.2345.2345.23
Fair Value$17.78$18.64$19.54
Upside / Downside-84.60%-83.86%-83.09%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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