Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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OneSpaWorld Holdings Limited (OSW)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: LeisureSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$14.89 - $35.10$21.93
Multi-Stage$10.55 - $11.52$11.03
Blended Fair Value$16.48
Current Price$21.14
Upside-22.06%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS14.34%0.00%0.080.000.000.000.020.040.150.580.670.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-42.63%-72.84%-74.23%-13.44%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.47%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.22%1.00%1.11%6.06%6.93%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.56
(=) Cash Retained (M)57.38
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.799.245.55
Cash Retained (M)57.3857.3857.38
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.79-9.24-5.55
(=) Excess Retained (M)42.5948.1451.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)104.75104.75104.75
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.410.460.49
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.560.620.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$14.89$21.93$35.10
Upside / Downside-29.54%3.73%66.02%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.9478.7583.8789.3295.13101.31104.35
Payout Ratio22.40%35.92%49.44%62.96%76.48%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.5628.2941.4656.2472.7591.1896.52

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.50%9.50%9.50%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)25.5925.8326.07
Year 2 PV (M)33.9434.5835.23
Year 3 PV (M)41.6442.8344.05
Year 4 PV (M)48.7350.6052.53
Year 5 PV (M)55.2557.9260.69
PV of Terminal Value (M)899.83943.30988.42
Equity Value (M)1,104.981,155.071,207.00
Shares Outstanding (M)104.75104.75104.75
Fair Value$10.55$11.03$11.52
Upside / Downside-50.10%-47.84%-45.49%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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