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Marex Group plc Ordinary Shares (MRX)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Financial - Capital MarketsSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$290.26 - $937.35$878.43
Multi-Stage$124.46 - $136.17$130.21
Blended Fair Value$504.32
Current Price$39.47
Upside1,177.73%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%1.050.800.090.270.250.000.000.270.270.00
YoY Growth--32.25%783.33%-67.00%9.92%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.98%4.19%0.47%1.44%1.31%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)345.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)133.55
(=) Cash Retained (M)211.65
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)69.0443.1525.89
Cash Retained (M)211.65211.65211.65
(-) Cash Required (M)-69.04-43.15-25.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)142.61168.50185.76
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)73.2473.2473.24
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.952.302.54
LTM Dividend per Share1.821.821.82
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.952.302.54
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.774.124.36
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$290.26$878.43$937.35
Upside / Downside635.41%2,125.57%2,274.84%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)345.20367.64391.53416.98444.09472.95487.14
Payout Ratio38.69%48.95%59.21%69.48%79.74%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)133.55179.96231.84289.70354.11425.66450.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.87%6.87%6.87%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)166.81168.39169.97
Year 2 PV (M)199.19202.99206.82
Year 3 PV (M)230.72237.34244.09
Year 4 PV (M)261.40271.46281.80
Year 5 PV (M)291.26305.33319.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)7,966.368,351.148,750.65
Equity Value (M)9,115.759,536.659,973.26
Shares Outstanding (M)73.2473.2473.24
Fair Value$124.46$130.21$136.17
Upside / Downside215.34%229.90%245.00%

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