Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

Movida Participações S.A. (MOVI3.SA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Rental & Leasing ServicesSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$134.74 - $158.75$148.77
Multi-Stage$70.38 - $77.23$73.74
Blended Fair Value$111.26
Current Price$8.96
Upside1,141.70%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.401.280.310.160.260.070.250.050.00
YoY Growth---100.00%-69.13%319.87%87.91%-36.33%276.97%-72.50%420.97%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%4.87%16.81%2.04%1.16%3.81%0.75%4.47%0.74%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)278.19
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)55.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)223.14
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)55.6434.7720.86
Cash Retained (M)223.14223.14223.14
(-) Cash Required (M)-55.64-34.77-20.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)167.50188.37202.28
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)348.51348.51348.51
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
LTM Dividend per Share0.160.160.16
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.480.540.58
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.640.700.74
WACC / Discount Rate4.19%4.19%4.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$134.74$148.77$158.75
Upside / Downside1,403.83%1,560.40%1,671.76%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)278.19296.27315.53336.04357.88381.15392.58
Payout Ratio19.79%33.83%47.87%61.92%75.96%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)55.05100.23151.05208.06271.84343.03363.14

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.19%4.19%4.19%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)95.2996.2097.10
Year 2 PV (M)136.54139.14141.76
Year 3 PV (M)178.80183.94189.17
Year 4 PV (M)222.10230.65239.43
Year 5 PV (M)266.46279.33292.70
PV of Terminal Value (M)23,628.4124,769.6725,954.61
Equity Value (M)24,527.6225,698.9326,914.77
Shares Outstanding (M)348.51348.51348.51
Fair Value$70.38$73.74$77.23
Upside / Downside685.49%723.00%761.93%

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