Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Moury Construct S.A. (MOUR.BR)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Engineering & ConstructionSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12,021.33 - $26,053.28$24,415.73
Multi-Stage$3,891.09 - $4,261.64$4,072.95
Blended Fair Value$14,244.34
Current Price$584.00
Upside2,339.10%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS1.15%10.64%11.009.618.366.966.2310.395.215.215.014.40
YoY Growth--14.48%15.02%19.99%11.80%-40.06%99.61%0.00%3.99%13.71%9.97%
Dividend Yield--2.18%2.29%2.63%2.09%3.31%6.58%3.86%3.72%3.63%3.28%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)51.86
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)10.81
(=) Cash Retained (M)41.05
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)10.376.483.89
Cash Retained (M)41.0541.0541.05
(-) Cash Required (M)-10.37-6.48-3.89
(=) Excess Retained (M)30.6834.5737.16
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
(=) Excess Retained per Share77.4987.3293.87
LTM Dividend per Share27.3127.3127.31
(+) Excess Retained per Share77.4987.3293.87
(=) Adjusted Dividend104.80114.63121.18
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$12,021.33$24,415.73$26,053.28
Upside / Downside1,958.45%4,080.78%4,361.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)51.8655.2358.8262.6566.7271.0673.19
Payout Ratio20.85%34.68%48.51%62.34%76.17%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)10.8119.1528.5339.0550.8263.9567.70

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.42%6.42%6.42%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)17.8318.0018.17
Year 2 PV (M)24.7225.2025.67
Year 3 PV (M)31.5032.4033.32
Year 4 PV (M)38.1539.6241.13
Year 5 PV (M)44.6946.8549.09
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,383.521,450.341,519.72
Equity Value (M)1,540.421,612.411,687.11
Shares Outstanding (M)0.400.400.40
Fair Value$3,891.09$4,072.95$4,261.64
Upside / Downside566.28%597.42%629.73%

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