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Definitive Analysis

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LPP S.A. (LPP.WA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Apparel - ManufacturersSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$98,337.13 - $193,453.92$181,294.66
Multi-Stage$30,557.36 - $33,418.98$31,961.98
Blended Fair Value$106,628.32
Current Price$15,400.00
Upside592.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202018201720162015
DPS59.38%20.74%610.05429.89349.38449.230.0059.3239.5335.3132.3031.25
YoY Growth--41.91%23.04%-22.23%0.00%-100.00%50.07%11.93%9.33%3.36%-66.26%
Dividend Yield--3.96%2.73%2.81%4.78%0.00%0.91%0.47%0.41%0.48%0.57%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,805.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,215.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)590.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)361.00225.63135.38
Cash Retained (M)590.00590.00590.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-361.00-225.63-135.38
(=) Excess Retained (M)229.00364.38454.63
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1.861.861.86
(=) Excess Retained per Share123.41196.37245.00
LTM Dividend per Share654.78654.78654.78
(+) Excess Retained per Share123.41196.37245.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend778.19851.15899.79
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$98,337.13$181,294.66$193,453.92
Upside / Downside538.55%1,077.24%1,156.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,805.001,922.332,047.282,180.352,322.072,473.012,547.20
Payout Ratio67.31%71.85%76.39%80.93%85.46%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,215.001,381.201,563.871,764.451,984.502,225.712,356.16

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.33%6.33%6.33%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,286.721,298.911,311.11
Year 2 PV (M)1,357.231,383.091,409.18
Year 3 PV (M)1,426.561,467.521,509.24
Year 4 PV (M)1,494.721,552.201,611.33
Year 5 PV (M)1,561.721,637.151,715.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)49,574.6951,969.1754,455.29
Equity Value (M)56,701.6559,308.0462,011.62
Shares Outstanding (M)1.861.861.86
Fair Value$30,557.36$31,961.98$33,418.98
Upside / Downside98.42%107.55%117.01%

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