Definitive Analysis
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Kazan Public Joint Stock Company Organichesky sintez (KZOS.ME)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: ChemicalsSector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$417.78 - $1,369.82$678.75
Multi-Stage$430.64 - $472.54$451.20
Blended Fair Value$564.97
Current Price$77.30
Upside630.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320202019201820172016201520142013
DPS-71.51%-18.47%0.010.004.427.544.124.913.130.990.350.53
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%-41.41%82.83%-16.06%57.03%215.93%183.26%-34.32%649.62%
Dividend Yield--0.01%0.00%4.93%8.87%4.06%5.34%5.40%2.63%1.62%7.19%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)29,140.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6,001.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)23,138.97
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)5,828.173,642.612,185.56
Cash Retained (M)23,138.9723,138.9723,138.97
(-) Cash Required (M)-5,828.17-3,642.61-2,185.56
(=) Excess Retained (M)17,310.7919,496.3620,953.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,844.911,844.911,844.91
(=) Excess Retained per Share9.3810.5711.36
LTM Dividend per Share3.253.253.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share9.3810.5711.36
(=) Adjusted Dividend12.6413.8214.61
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Fair Value$417.78$678.75$1,369.82
Upside / Downside440.47%778.07%1,672.09%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)29,140.8730,374.8131,661.0133,001.6734,399.0935,855.6936,931.36
Payout Ratio20.60%34.48%48.36%62.24%76.12%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6,001.9010,472.3015,310.5320,539.7326,184.3332,270.1234,161.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.36%6.36%6.36%
Growth Rate3.23%4.23%5.23%
Year 1 PV (M)9,751.929,846.389,940.85
Year 2 PV (M)13,276.5813,535.0313,795.98
Year 3 PV (M)16,585.8717,072.5517,568.64
Year 4 PV (M)19,689.4220,463.4821,260.14
Year 5 PV (M)22,596.4423,712.2824,871.76
PV of Terminal Value (M)712,597.35747,786.06784,351.36
Equity Value (M)794,497.59832,415.78871,788.74
Shares Outstanding (M)1,844.911,844.911,844.91
Fair Value$430.64$451.20$472.54
Upside / Downside457.11%483.69%511.30%

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