Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

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Company Industry Sector

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Sector

PT Jakarta Setiabudi Internasional Tbk (JSPT.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Real Estate - ServicesSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$2,158.36 - $4,796.74$3,115.00
Multi-Stage$1,930.02 - $2,112.22$2,019.44
Blended Fair Value$2,567.22
Current Price$3,690.00
Upside-30.43%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-12.05%-3.31%10.000.000.000.0010.0019.0019.0018.0017.0016.00
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-47.37%0.00%5.56%5.88%6.25%14.29%
Dividend Yield--0.14%0.00%0.00%0.00%1.20%2.07%1.73%1.20%0.57%1.71%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)255,984.74
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)64,989.05
(=) Cash Retained (M)190,995.69
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)51,196.9531,998.0919,198.86
Cash Retained (M)190,995.69190,995.69190,995.69
(-) Cash Required (M)-51,196.95-31,998.09-19,198.86
(=) Excess Retained (M)139,798.74158,997.60171,796.83
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,318.742,318.742,318.74
(=) Excess Retained per Share60.2968.5774.09
LTM Dividend per Share28.0328.0328.03
(+) Excess Retained per Share60.2968.5774.09
(=) Adjusted Dividend88.3296.60102.12
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Fair Value$2,158.36$3,115.00$4,796.74
Upside / Downside-41.51%-15.58%29.99%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)255,984.74268,920.32282,509.57296,785.53311,782.88327,538.09337,364.23
Payout Ratio25.39%38.31%51.23%64.16%77.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)64,989.05103,024.15144,737.33190,403.18240,314.67294,784.28312,061.91

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.31%8.31%8.31%
Growth Rate4.05%5.05%6.05%
Year 1 PV (M)94,213.3595,118.7996,024.22
Year 2 PV (M)121,039.57123,377.24125,737.27
Year 3 PV (M)145,611.07149,849.72154,169.83
Year 4 PV (M)168,063.69174,618.10181,362.38
Year 5 PV (M)188,526.03197,760.95207,354.27
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,757,747.173,941,819.834,133,036.25
Equity Value (M)4,475,200.894,682,544.624,897,684.22
Shares Outstanding (M)2,318.742,318.742,318.74
Fair Value$1,930.02$2,019.44$2,112.22
Upside / Downside-47.70%-45.27%-42.76%

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