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Ituran Location and Control Ltd. (ITRN)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$93.84 - $530.10$171.48
Multi-Stage$72.91 - $79.77$76.28
Blended Fair Value$123.88
Current Price$35.72
Upside246.80%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS7.16%3.80%1.410.580.580.790.501.001.021.140.860.88
YoY Growth--142.63%0.84%-27.48%58.61%-49.78%-1.83%-10.71%32.52%-2.85%-8.97%
Dividend Yield--3.90%2.08%2.65%3.45%2.36%7.02%2.88%3.68%2.78%4.50%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)56.53
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)36.59
(=) Cash Retained (M)19.94
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)11.317.074.24
Cash Retained (M)19.9419.9419.94
(-) Cash Required (M)-11.31-7.07-4.24
(=) Excess Retained (M)8.6312.8715.70
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.430.650.79
LTM Dividend per Share1.841.841.84
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.430.650.79
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.272.492.63
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Fair Value$93.84$171.48$530.10
Upside / Downside162.72%380.06%1,384.03%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)56.5359.5462.7166.0569.5673.2675.46
Payout Ratio64.72%69.78%74.83%79.89%84.94%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)36.5941.5546.9352.7659.0965.9469.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.85%6.85%6.85%
Growth Rate4.32%5.32%6.32%
Year 1 PV (M)38.5138.8839.25
Year 2 PV (M)40.3341.1041.89
Year 3 PV (M)42.0343.2544.50
Year 4 PV (M)43.6345.3347.08
Year 5 PV (M)45.1447.3449.63
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,240.831,301.451,364.42
Equity Value (M)1,450.471,517.361,586.76
Shares Outstanding (M)19.8919.8919.89
Fair Value$72.91$76.28$79.77
Upside / Downside104.13%113.54%123.31%

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