Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Italtile Limited (ITE.JO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Home ImprovementSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$49.62 - $111.32$71.85
Multi-Stage$38.60 - $42.00$40.27
Blended Fair Value$56.06
Current Price$10.02
Upside459.48%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS1.57%22.60%1.310.510.661.180.471.210.750.280.240.23
YoY Growth--158.25%-22.80%-44.09%151.16%-61.40%61.07%165.19%16.10%4.66%36.76%
Dividend Yield--13.09%4.38%5.06%8.40%2.81%10.55%5.09%2.15%2.01%1.75%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)2,956.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)2,515.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)441.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)591.20369.50221.70
Cash Retained (M)441.00441.00441.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-591.20-369.50-221.70
(=) Excess Retained (M)-150.2071.50219.30
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,193.631,193.631,193.63
(=) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.060.18
LTM Dividend per Share2.112.112.11
(+) Excess Retained per Share-0.130.060.18
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.982.172.29
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$49.62$71.85$111.32
Upside / Downside395.24%617.03%1,011.01%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)2,956.003,148.143,352.773,570.703,802.794,049.984,171.48
Payout Ratio85.08%86.06%87.05%88.03%89.02%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)2,515.002,709.452,918.543,143.373,385.103,644.983,858.61

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.71%9.71%9.71%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)2,446.412,469.602,492.78
Year 2 PV (M)2,379.372,424.702,470.44
Year 3 PV (M)2,313.882,380.312,447.99
Year 4 PV (M)2,249.912,336.442,425.44
Year 5 PV (M)2,187.452,293.102,402.80
PV of Terminal Value (M)34,499.8436,166.2037,896.33
Equity Value (M)46,076.8748,070.3450,135.78
Shares Outstanding (M)1,193.631,193.631,193.63
Fair Value$38.60$40.27$42.00
Upside / Downside285.25%301.92%319.19%

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