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Definitive Analysis

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Indeks Bilgisayar Sistemleri Mühendislik Sanayi ve Ticaret Anonim Sirketi (INDES.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Computer HardwareSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$24.87 - $102.15$42.68
Multi-Stage$15.09 - $16.52$15.79
Blended Fair Value$29.24
Current Price$8.25
Upside254.39%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS47.00%56.88%0.380.390.340.060.030.050.090.050.050.03
YoY Growth---2.27%12.47%428.42%111.37%-44.09%-39.22%89.19%-3.20%73.93%579.38%
Dividend Yield--5.32%4.43%6.09%2.49%1.39%9.35%16.37%4.41%6.94%4.54%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)619.94
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)16.65
(=) Cash Retained (M)603.28
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)123.9977.4946.50
Cash Retained (M)603.28603.28603.28
(-) Cash Required (M)-123.99-77.49-46.50
(=) Excess Retained (M)479.29525.79556.79
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)750.00750.00750.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.640.700.74
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.640.700.74
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.660.720.76
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$24.87$42.68$102.15
Upside / Downside201.51%417.37%1,138.19%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)619.94660.23703.15748.85797.53849.37874.85
Payout Ratio2.69%20.15%37.61%55.07%72.54%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)16.65133.03264.47412.43578.50764.43809.23

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.30%8.30%8.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)121.68122.83123.98
Year 2 PV (M)221.25225.46229.72
Year 3 PV (M)315.58324.64333.87
Year 4 PV (M)404.88420.45436.47
Year 5 PV (M)489.35512.98537.52
PV of Terminal Value (M)9,765.5810,237.2610,726.99
Equity Value (M)11,318.3211,843.6312,388.56
Shares Outstanding (M)750.00750.00750.00
Fair Value$15.09$15.79$16.52
Upside / Downside82.92%91.41%100.22%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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