Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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HYDROGEN Freehold And Leasehold Real Estate Investment Trust (HYDROGEN.BK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: REIT - DiversifiedSector: Real Estate

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$5.67 - $8.33$6.95
Multi-Stage$9.73 - $10.72$10.21
Blended Fair Value$8.58
Current Price$8.60
Upside-0.22%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.220.000.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%2.41%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)152.28
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.94
(=) Cash Retained (M)147.34
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.4619.0411.42
Cash Retained (M)147.34147.34147.34
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.46-19.04-11.42
(=) Excess Retained (M)116.88128.30135.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)207.72207.72207.72
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.560.620.65
LTM Dividend per Share0.020.020.02
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.560.620.65
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.590.640.68
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$5.67$6.95$8.33
Upside / Downside-34.10%-19.23%-3.15%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)152.28150.76149.25147.76146.28144.82149.16
Payout Ratio3.25%20.60%37.95%55.30%72.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.9431.0556.6481.71106.27130.34137.98

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate8.14%8.14%8.14%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)28.4228.7129.00
Year 2 PV (M)47.4648.4349.41
Year 3 PV (M)62.6764.6166.59
Year 4 PV (M)74.6177.7080.89
Year 5 PV (M)83.7688.1292.67
PV of Terminal Value (M)1,724.481,814.281,907.78
Equity Value (M)2,021.402,121.862,226.34
Shares Outstanding (M)207.72207.72207.72
Fair Value$9.73$10.21$10.72
Upside / Downside13.16%18.78%24.63%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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