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Definitive Analysis

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HCL Technologies Limited (HCLTECH.BO)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Information Technology ServicesSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$4,006.06 - $12,506.42$11,720.34
Multi-Stage$1,750.95 - $1,911.86$1,829.95
Blended Fair Value$6,775.15
Current Price$1,385.10
Upside389.14%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS64.31%21.15%59.9051.8847.9041.9812.005.004.056.2312.489.94
YoY Growth--15.47%8.30%14.10%249.79%139.94%23.48%-35.01%-50.06%25.54%13.08%
Dividend Yield--3.47%3.53%4.03%4.31%1.22%0.90%0.77%1.35%2.93%2.72%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)170,588.63
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)162,768.13
(=) Cash Retained (M)7,820.50
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)34,117.7321,323.5812,794.15
Cash Retained (M)7,820.507,820.507,820.50
(-) Cash Required (M)-34,117.73-21,323.58-12,794.15
(=) Excess Retained (M)-26,297.23-13,503.08-4,973.65
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)2,712.672,712.672,712.67
(=) Excess Retained per Share-9.69-4.98-1.83
LTM Dividend per Share60.0060.0060.00
(+) Excess Retained per Share-9.69-4.98-1.83
(=) Adjusted Dividend50.3155.0358.17
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$4,006.06$11,720.34$12,506.42
Upside / Downside189.23%746.17%802.93%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)170,588.63181,676.89193,485.89206,062.47219,456.53233,721.21240,732.84
Payout Ratio95.42%94.33%93.25%92.17%91.08%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)162,768.13171,380.29180,424.33189,920.02199,887.85210,349.09222,677.88

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.82%6.82%6.82%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)158,924.66160,431.06161,937.45
Year 2 PV (M)155,151.49158,106.69161,089.77
Year 3 PV (M)151,447.47155,794.98160,224.91
Year 4 PV (M)147,811.46153,495.87159,342.68
Year 5 PV (M)144,242.34151,209.30158,442.90
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,992,188.544,185,012.744,385,216.77
Equity Value (M)4,749,765.954,964,050.635,186,254.48
Shares Outstanding (M)2,712.672,712.672,712.67
Fair Value$1,750.95$1,829.95$1,911.86
Upside / Downside26.41%32.12%38.03%

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