Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Galata Wind Enerji A.S. (GWIND.IS)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Renewable UtilitiesSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$12.11 - $17.44$14.71
Multi-Stage$18.94 - $20.84$19.87
Blended Fair Value$17.29
Current Price$24.34
Upside-28.97%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019
DPS0.00%0.00%0.980.980.280.190.020.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--0.71%251.80%50.00%900.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--3.89%4.02%1.69%2.74%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)924.90
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)31.36
(=) Cash Retained (M)893.54
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)184.98115.6169.37
Cash Retained (M)893.54893.54893.54
(-) Cash Required (M)-184.98-115.61-69.37
(=) Excess Retained (M)708.56777.93824.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)540.00540.00540.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.311.441.53
LTM Dividend per Share0.060.060.06
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.311.441.53
(=) Adjusted Dividend1.371.501.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$12.11$14.71$17.44
Upside / Downside-50.23%-39.56%-28.36%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)924.90915.65906.49897.43888.46879.57905.96
Payout Ratio3.39%20.71%38.03%55.36%72.68%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)31.36189.65344.78496.78645.71791.61838.01

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.09%9.09%9.09%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)172.10173.85175.61
Year 2 PV (M)283.91289.74295.62
Year 3 PV (M)371.22382.70394.42
Year 4 PV (M)437.85456.00474.71
Year 5 PV (M)487.11512.47538.88
PV of Terminal Value (M)8,473.148,914.369,373.77
Equity Value (M)10,225.3410,729.1211,253.00
Shares Outstanding (M)540.00540.00540.00
Fair Value$18.94$19.87$20.84
Upside / Downside-22.20%-18.37%-14.38%

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