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Globavend Holdings Limited (GVH)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Integrated Freight & LogisticsSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$1.06 - $1.63$1.33
Multi-Stage$2.41 - $2.65$2.52
Blended Fair Value$1.92
Current Price$163.98
Upside-98.83%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021
DPS0.00%0.00%0.000.110.060.000.000.000.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth---100.00%66.46%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.02%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1.60
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.97
(=) Cash Retained (M)0.62
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)0.320.200.12
Cash Retained (M)0.620.620.62
(-) Cash Required (M)-0.32-0.20-0.12
(=) Excess Retained (M)0.300.420.50
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.8713.8713.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
LTM Dividend per Share0.070.070.07
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.020.030.04
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.090.100.11
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$1.06$1.33$1.63
Upside / Downside-99.35%-99.19%-99.00%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1.601.581.561.551.531.521.56
Payout Ratio61.06%66.85%72.64%78.42%84.21%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.971.061.141.211.291.371.45

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.52%6.52%6.52%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)0.980.991.00
Year 2 PV (M)0.981.001.02
Year 3 PV (M)0.971.011.04
Year 4 PV (M)0.961.001.04
Year 5 PV (M)0.951.001.05
PV of Terminal Value (M)28.5130.0031.54
Equity Value (M)33.3634.9936.69
Shares Outstanding (M)13.8713.8713.87
Fair Value$2.41$2.52$2.65
Upside / Downside-98.53%-98.46%-98.39%

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