Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Generac Holdings Inc. (GNRC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Industrial - MachinerySector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$76.35 - $137.32$101.87
Multi-Stage$57.77 - $63.12$60.40
Blended Fair Value$81.13
Current Price$167.40
Upside-51.53%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS-0.86%-11.26%0.000.000.010.000.000.000.010.000.000.02
YoY Growth--0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-9.24%0.00%-100.00%-94.71%59.20%
Dividend Yield--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.01%0.00%0.00%0.06%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)312.87
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)0.57
(=) Cash Retained (M)312.30
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)62.5739.1123.47
Cash Retained (M)312.30312.30312.30
(-) Cash Required (M)-62.57-39.11-23.47
(=) Excess Retained (M)249.73273.20288.84
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)59.6559.6559.65
(=) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share4.194.584.84
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.204.594.85
WACC / Discount Rate11.30%11.30%11.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$76.35$101.87$137.32
Upside / Downside-54.39%-39.15%-17.97%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)312.87333.21354.86377.93402.50428.66441.52
Payout Ratio0.18%18.14%36.11%54.07%72.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)0.5760.46128.14204.36289.94385.79408.40

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate11.30%11.30%11.30%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)53.8154.3254.83
Year 2 PV (M)101.51103.44105.39
Year 3 PV (M)144.09148.23152.44
Year 4 PV (M)181.96188.96196.15
Year 5 PV (M)215.49225.90236.71
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,749.072,881.853,019.72
Equity Value (M)3,445.933,602.703,765.24
Shares Outstanding (M)59.6559.6559.65
Fair Value$57.77$60.40$63.12
Upside / Downside-65.49%-63.92%-62.29%

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