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PT Galva Technologies Tbk (GLVA.JK)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Technology DistributorsSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$296.55 - $458.70$371.76
Multi-Stage$682.76 - $751.11$716.27
Blended Fair Value$544.01
Current Price$334.00
Upside62.88%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS-0.14%0.00%19.2016.008.006.000.0019.330.000.000.000.00
YoY Growth--20.00%100.00%33.33%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--6.04%4.35%1.00%2.24%0.00%9.39%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)47,838.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)28,800.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)19,038.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)9,567.605,979.753,587.85
Cash Retained (M)19,038.0019,038.0019,038.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-9,567.60-5,979.75-3,587.85
(=) Excess Retained (M)9,470.4013,058.2515,450.15
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)1,500.001,500.001,500.00
(=) Excess Retained per Share6.318.7110.30
LTM Dividend per Share19.2019.2019.20
(+) Excess Retained per Share6.318.7110.30
(=) Adjusted Dividend25.5127.9129.50
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Fair Value$296.55$371.76$458.70
Upside / Downside-11.21%11.31%37.33%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)47,838.0047,359.6246,886.0246,417.1645,952.9945,493.4646,858.27
Payout Ratio60.20%66.16%72.12%78.08%84.04%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)28,800.0031,334.3333,815.1036,243.1138,619.1940,944.1243,343.90

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.43%6.43%6.43%
Growth Rate-2.00%-1.00%0.00%
Year 1 PV (M)29,143.5229,440.9129,738.29
Year 2 PV (M)29,251.8929,851.9130,458.02
Year 3 PV (M)29,160.1930,061.9930,982.19
Year 4 PV (M)28,899.4530,097.2031,331.80
Year 5 PV (M)28,497.0329,980.9331,526.02
PV of Terminal Value (M)879,185.22924,966.43972,635.24
Equity Value (M)1,024,137.291,074,399.361,126,671.56
Shares Outstanding (M)1,500.001,500.001,500.00
Fair Value$682.76$716.27$751.11
Upside / Downside104.42%114.45%124.88%

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