Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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Sector

Frequentis AG (FQT.DE)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Communication EquipmentSector: Technology

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$56.09 - $126.33$81.33
Multi-Stage$40.12 - $43.83$41.94
Blended Fair Value$61.63
Current Price$51.00
Upside20.85%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS19.26%0.00%0.240.220.200.150.150.101.080.110.130.36
YoY Growth--9.04%10.06%33.37%-0.10%50.91%-90.83%928.57%-17.65%-64.58%0.00%
Dividend Yield--0.86%0.80%0.70%0.56%0.83%0.50%6.08%0.59%0.72%2.03%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)37.13
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)6.77
(=) Cash Retained (M)30.36
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)7.434.642.78
Cash Retained (M)30.3630.3630.36
(-) Cash Required (M)-7.43-4.64-2.78
(=) Excess Retained (M)22.9325.7227.58
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)13.3213.3213.32
(=) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.07
LTM Dividend per Share0.510.510.51
(+) Excess Retained per Share1.721.932.07
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.232.442.58
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$56.09$81.33$126.33
Upside / Downside9.99%59.46%147.71%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)37.1339.5442.1144.8547.7750.8752.40
Payout Ratio18.23%32.59%46.94%61.29%75.65%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)6.7712.8919.7727.4936.1345.7948.47

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.69%9.69%9.69%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)11.6411.7511.86
Year 2 PV (M)16.1216.4316.74
Year 3 PV (M)20.2520.8321.42
Year 4 PV (M)24.0324.9625.91
Year 5 PV (M)27.5028.8330.21
PV of Terminal Value (M)434.88455.89477.70
Equity Value (M)534.42558.68583.83
Shares Outstanding (M)13.3213.3213.32
Fair Value$40.12$41.94$43.83
Upside / Downside-21.33%-17.76%-14.06%

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