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Fnac Darty S.A. (FNAC.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$55.81 - $93.11$72.24
Multi-Stage$90.48 - $99.40$94.86
Blended Fair Value$83.55
Current Price$33.60
Upside148.66%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%0.00%0.630.761.960.950.000.000.000.010.000.00
YoY Growth---17.76%-61.09%105.99%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%
Dividend Yield--2.19%2.77%5.68%1.65%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.01%0.00%0.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)133.30
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)38.90
(=) Cash Retained (M)94.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)26.6616.6610.00
Cash Retained (M)94.4094.4094.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-26.66-16.66-10.00
(=) Excess Retained (M)67.7477.7484.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)28.0928.0928.09
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.412.773.00
LTM Dividend per Share1.381.381.38
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.412.773.00
(=) Adjusted Dividend3.804.154.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.35%1.35%2.35%
Fair Value$55.81$72.24$93.11
Upside / Downside66.12%115.00%177.11%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)133.30135.10136.92138.77140.64142.54146.81
Payout Ratio29.18%41.35%53.51%65.67%77.84%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)38.9055.8673.2791.13109.47128.28135.80

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.17%7.17%7.17%
Growth Rate0.35%1.35%2.35%
Year 1 PV (M)51.6052.1252.63
Year 2 PV (M)62.5363.7965.05
Year 3 PV (M)71.8674.0376.24
Year 4 PV (M)79.7582.9786.30
Year 5 PV (M)86.3490.7395.29
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,189.822,301.122,416.91
Equity Value (M)2,541.902,664.752,792.42
Shares Outstanding (M)28.0928.0928.09
Fair Value$90.48$94.86$99.40
Upside / Downside169.29%182.31%195.83%

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