Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Festi hf. (FESTI.IC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Specialty RetailSector: Consumer Cyclical

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$307.24 - $728.20$453.19
Multi-Stage$219.41 - $239.55$229.30
Blended Fair Value$341.24
Current Price$285.00
Upside19.73%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%-5.84%2.872.904.963.082.060.000.002.383.332.67
YoY Growth---1.07%-41.54%61.20%49.61%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-28.57%25.00%-49.09%
Dividend Yield--0.97%1.55%2.74%1.26%1.11%0.00%0.00%2.00%2.95%4.27%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)4,562.20
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)1,400.64
(=) Cash Retained (M)3,161.56
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)912.44570.28342.17
Cash Retained (M)3,161.563,161.563,161.56
(-) Cash Required (M)-912.44-570.28-342.17
(=) Excess Retained (M)2,249.122,591.292,819.40
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)315.14315.14315.14
(=) Excess Retained per Share7.148.228.95
LTM Dividend per Share4.444.444.44
(+) Excess Retained per Share7.148.228.95
(=) Adjusted Dividend11.5812.6713.39
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$307.24$453.19$728.20
Upside / Downside7.80%59.01%155.51%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)4,562.204,858.755,174.565,510.915,869.126,250.616,438.13
Payout Ratio30.70%42.56%54.42%66.28%78.14%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)1,400.642,067.922,816.033,652.654,586.145,625.555,955.27

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.48%9.48%9.48%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)1,871.181,888.911,906.65
Year 2 PV (M)2,305.682,349.592,393.92
Year 3 PV (M)2,706.142,783.822,862.98
Year 4 PV (M)3,074.473,192.703,314.31
Year 5 PV (M)3,412.463,577.293,748.42
PV of Terminal Value (M)55,775.1058,469.0661,266.12
Equity Value (M)69,145.0272,261.3775,492.40
Shares Outstanding (M)315.14315.14315.14
Fair Value$219.41$229.30$239.55
Upside / Downside-23.01%-19.54%-15.95%

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