Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

Financial Statements

Company Industry Sector

Fundamentals

Margins Returns Growth Rates Metrics/Ratios

Valuations

Projections DCF DDM EPV Multiples Valuations

Miscellaneous

Indicators Charts WACC Beta Predictability

Mode

Company Industry Sector

Ticker

Industry

Sector

Fomento de Construcciones y Contratas, S.A. (FCC.MC)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Waste ManagementSector: Industrials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$86.39 - $101.79$95.39
Multi-Stage$35.20 - $38.61$36.87
Blended Fair Value$66.13
Current Price$12.72
Upside419.90%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS11.21%38.03%0.270.040.160.140.080.160.010.040.030.03
YoY Growth--526.00%-73.42%15.88%72.34%-48.81%1,031.13%-61.58%41.27%-22.47%210.00%
Dividend Yield--2.63%0.35%1.80%1.29%0.81%2.14%0.12%0.37%0.30%0.44%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)230.92
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)45.28
(=) Cash Retained (M)185.64
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)46.1828.8617.32
Cash Retained (M)185.64185.64185.64
(-) Cash Required (M)-46.18-28.86-17.32
(=) Excess Retained (M)139.46156.78168.32
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)451.18451.18451.18
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.37
LTM Dividend per Share0.100.100.10
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.310.350.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.410.450.47
WACC / Discount Rate4.52%4.52%4.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$86.39$95.39$101.79
Upside / Downside579.20%649.92%700.21%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)230.92245.93261.91278.94297.07316.38325.87
Payout Ratio19.61%33.69%47.76%61.84%75.92%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)45.2882.84125.10172.50225.54284.74301.43

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate4.52%4.52%4.52%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)78.5179.2680.00
Year 2 PV (M)112.37114.51116.67
Year 3 PV (M)146.85151.07155.36
Year 4 PV (M)181.97188.97196.17
Year 5 PV (M)217.73228.25239.17
PV of Terminal Value (M)15,143.3415,874.7716,634.19
Equity Value (M)15,880.7816,636.8217,421.56
Shares Outstanding (M)451.18451.18451.18
Fair Value$35.20$36.87$38.61
Upside / Downside176.72%189.89%203.57%

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