Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Entergy New Orleans, LLC First Mortgage Bonds, 5.0% Series due December 1, 2052 (ENJ)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Regulated ElectricSector: Utilities

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$426.15 - $678.57$635.92
Multi-Stage$108.17 - $118.57$113.27
Blended Fair Value$374.60
Current Price$21.63
Upside1,631.84%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS0.00%33.47%0.280.280.000.000.000.000.050.170.040.02
YoY Growth--0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-68.47%282.69%139.62%17.95%
Dividend Yield--1.31%1.17%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%0.20%0.67%0.18%0.07%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)1,511.10
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)4.66
(=) Cash Retained (M)1,506.44
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)302.22188.89113.33
Cash Retained (M)1,506.441,506.441,506.44
(-) Cash Required (M)-302.22-188.89-113.33
(=) Excess Retained (M)1,204.221,317.551,393.10
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)442.87442.87442.87
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.722.983.15
LTM Dividend per Share0.010.010.01
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.722.983.15
(=) Adjusted Dividend2.732.993.16
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$426.15$635.92$678.57
Upside / Downside1,870.17%2,840.00%3,037.18%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)1,511.101,609.321,713.931,825.331,943.982,070.342,132.45
Payout Ratio0.31%18.25%36.19%54.12%72.06%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)4.66293.65620.19987.931,400.861,863.301,972.51

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate6.18%6.18%6.18%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)273.97276.57279.17
Year 2 PV (M)539.85550.14560.52
Year 3 PV (M)802.34825.37848.84
Year 4 PV (M)1,061.461,102.291,144.27
Year 5 PV (M)1,317.261,380.881,446.94
PV of Terminal Value (M)43,909.4646,030.3148,232.32
Equity Value (M)47,904.3550,165.5552,512.06
Shares Outstanding (M)442.87442.87442.87
Fair Value$108.17$113.27$118.57
Upside / Downside400.08%423.69%448.18%

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