Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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EL.En. S.p.A. (ELN.MI)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$21.94 - $60.43$33.94
Multi-Stage$14.88 - $16.26$15.56
Blended Fair Value$24.75
Current Price$11.36
Upside117.85%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS17.18%19.18%0.210.230.210.120.000.100.100.100.070.06
YoY Growth---9.76%9.63%83.09%8,191.57%-98.53%0.00%0.00%33.33%20.00%63.56%
Dividend Yield--2.31%2.00%1.78%0.81%0.02%2.39%2.03%1.19%1.04%2.41%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)73.07
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)18.68
(=) Cash Retained (M)54.40
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)14.619.135.48
Cash Retained (M)54.4054.4054.40
(-) Cash Required (M)-14.61-9.13-5.48
(=) Excess Retained (M)39.7845.2648.92
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)80.4280.4280.42
(=) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
LTM Dividend per Share0.230.230.23
(+) Excess Retained per Share0.490.560.61
(=) Adjusted Dividend0.730.800.84
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$21.94$33.94$60.43
Upside / Downside93.15%198.72%431.94%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)73.0777.8282.8888.2794.01100.12103.12
Payout Ratio25.56%38.45%51.33%64.22%77.11%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)18.6829.9242.5556.6972.4990.1195.39

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.00%9.00%9.00%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)27.1927.4527.71
Year 2 PV (M)35.1435.8136.49
Year 3 PV (M)42.5643.7845.03
Year 4 PV (M)49.4651.3653.32
Year 5 PV (M)55.8858.5861.38
PV of Terminal Value (M)986.641,034.291,083.77
Equity Value (M)1,196.871,251.281,307.69
Shares Outstanding (M)80.4280.4280.42
Fair Value$14.88$15.56$16.26
Upside / Downside31.01%36.97%43.14%

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