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Caisse Régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Sud Rhône Alpes (CRSU.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$648.46 - $1,205.03$876.42
Multi-Stage$906.45 - $995.39$950.07
Blended Fair Value$913.24
Current Price$151.60
Upside502.40%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS3.56%1.36%4.383.933.463.113.573.683.583.853.863.73
YoY Growth--11.37%13.86%11.04%-12.74%-3.04%2.83%-7.00%-0.41%3.65%-2.70%
Dividend Yield--3.49%3.33%3.15%2.15%2.22%1.62%1.79%2.08%2.35%2.43%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)197.82
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)39.50
(=) Cash Retained (M)158.32
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)39.5624.7314.84
Cash Retained (M)158.32158.32158.32
(-) Cash Required (M)-39.56-24.73-14.84
(=) Excess Retained (M)118.75133.59143.48
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)4.534.534.53
(=) Excess Retained per Share26.2129.4931.67
LTM Dividend per Share8.728.728.72
(+) Excess Retained per Share26.2129.4931.67
(=) Adjusted Dividend34.9338.2140.39
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Fair Value$648.46$876.42$1,205.03
Upside / Downside327.74%478.11%694.87%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)197.82202.89208.09213.42218.89224.50231.24
Payout Ratio19.97%33.98%47.98%61.99%75.99%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)39.5068.9399.84132.30166.34202.05213.89

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate1.56%2.56%3.56%
Year 1 PV (M)63.7764.4065.03
Year 2 PV (M)85.4687.1588.86
Year 3 PV (M)104.76107.89111.07
Year 4 PV (M)121.87126.74131.76
Year 5 PV (M)136.95143.83150.98
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,593.473,773.903,961.50
Equity Value (M)4,106.294,303.914,509.20
Shares Outstanding (M)4.534.534.53
Fair Value$906.45$950.07$995.39
Upside / Downside497.92%526.69%556.59%

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