Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Caisse régionale de Crédit Agricole Mutuel Atlantique Vendée (CRAV.PA)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Banks - RegionalSector: Financial Services

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$199.42 - $306.29$249.23
Multi-Stage$393.40 - $432.94$412.78
Blended Fair Value$331.01
Current Price$99.00
Upside234.35%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS6.79%4.03%3.192.740.000.002.242.302.322.362.362.13
YoY Growth--16.60%0.00%0.00%-100.00%-2.61%-0.89%-1.95%0.26%10.78%-0.93%
Dividend Yield--3.65%3.22%0.00%0.00%1.93%1.44%1.76%1.96%2.38%2.42%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)161.32
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)46.12
(=) Cash Retained (M)115.21
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)32.2620.1712.10
Cash Retained (M)115.21115.21115.21
(-) Cash Required (M)-32.26-20.17-12.10
(=) Excess Retained (M)82.9495.04103.11
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)7.387.387.38
(=) Excess Retained per Share11.2312.8713.96
LTM Dividend per Share6.256.256.25
(+) Excess Retained per Share11.2312.8713.96
(=) Adjusted Dividend17.4819.1220.21
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-1.59%-0.59%0.41%
Fair Value$199.42$249.23$306.29
Upside / Downside101.43%151.74%209.38%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)161.32160.37159.42158.47157.53156.60161.29
Payout Ratio28.59%40.87%53.15%65.44%77.72%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)46.1265.5484.73103.70122.43140.94149.20

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.03%7.03%7.03%
Growth Rate-1.59%-0.59%0.41%
Year 1 PV (M)60.6261.2461.85
Year 2 PV (M)72.4973.9775.46
Year 3 PV (M)82.0584.5787.15
Year 4 PV (M)89.5993.2997.10
Year 5 PV (M)95.39100.34105.49
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,504.892,634.782,770.00
Equity Value (M)2,905.033,048.183,197.05
Shares Outstanding (M)7.387.387.38
Fair Value$393.40$412.78$432.94
Upside / Downside297.37%316.95%337.32%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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