Definitive Analysis
| Stable Growth | $510.67 - $940.68 | $881.56 |
| Multi-Stage | $150.03 - $164.14 | $156.95 |
| Blended Fair Value | $519.25 | |
| Current Price | $39.40 | |
| Upside | 1,217.91% | |
| Decision | Buy | |
| Metric | 5Y CAGR | 10Y CAGR | 2024 | 2023 | 2022 | 2021 | 2020 | 2019 | 2018 | 2017 | 2016 | 2015 |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| DPS | 45.48% | 13.09% | 3.02 | 3.10 | 3.36 | 3.73 | 1.84 | 0.46 | 0.28 | 0.29 | 0.20 | 0.00 |
| YoY Growth | - | - | -2.54% | -7.80% | -9.91% | 103.11% | 296.28% | 65.77% | -4.38% | 45.39% | 4,353.29% | -99.49% |
| Dividend Yield | - | - | 8.01% | 8.95% | 10.62% | 11.56% | 6.04% | 1.72% | 0.94% | 1.17% | 0.78% | 0.02% |
| Net Income To Common (M) | 5,450.17 |
| (-) Cash Dividends Paid (M) | 3,070.13 |
| (=) Cash Retained (M) | 2,380.05 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Required Retention Ratio | 20.0% | 12.5% | 7.5% |
| (=) Cash Required (M) | 1,090.03 | 681.27 | 408.76 |
| Cash Retained (M) | 2,380.05 | 2,380.05 | 2,380.05 |
| (-) Cash Required (M) | -1,090.03 | -681.27 | -408.76 |
| (=) Excess Retained (M) | 1,290.01 | 1,698.77 | 1,971.28 |
| (/) Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,152.25 | 1,152.25 | 1,152.25 |
| (=) Excess Retained per Share | 1.12 | 1.47 | 1.71 |
| LTM Dividend per Share | 2.66 | 2.66 | 2.66 |
| (+) Excess Retained per Share | 1.12 | 1.47 | 1.71 |
| (=) Adjusted Dividend | 3.78 | 4.14 | 4.38 |
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.28% | 6.28% | 6.28% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Fair Value | $510.67 | $881.56 | $940.68 |
| Upside / Downside | 1,196.11% | 2,137.45% | 2,287.51% |
| Metric | TTM | Dec-27 | Dec-28 | Dec-29 | Dec-30 | Dec-31 | Terminal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Net Income (M) | 5,450.17 | 5,804.43 | 6,181.72 | 6,583.53 | 7,011.46 | 7,467.21 | 7,691.23 |
| Payout Ratio | 56.33% | 63.06% | 69.80% | 76.53% | 83.27% | 90.00% | 92.50% |
| Projected Dividends (M) | 3,070.13 | 3,660.55 | 4,314.75 | 5,038.53 | 5,838.18 | 6,720.49 | 7,114.38 |
| Metric | LOW | BASE | HIGH |
|---|---|---|---|
| WACC / Discount Rate | 6.28% | 6.28% | 6.28% |
| Growth Rate | 5.50% | 6.50% | 7.50% |
| Year 1 PV (M) | 3,411.85 | 3,444.19 | 3,476.53 |
| Year 2 PV (M) | 3,748.38 | 3,819.78 | 3,891.85 |
| Year 3 PV (M) | 4,079.78 | 4,196.89 | 4,316.23 |
| Year 4 PV (M) | 4,406.10 | 4,575.54 | 4,749.83 |
| Year 5 PV (M) | 4,727.39 | 4,955.73 | 5,192.80 |
| PV of Terminal Value (M) | 152,494.05 | 159,859.57 | 167,506.99 |
| Equity Value (M) | 172,867.55 | 180,851.71 | 189,134.23 |
| Shares Outstanding (M) | 1,152.25 | 1,152.25 | 1,152.25 |
| Fair Value | $150.03 | $156.95 | $164.14 |
| Upside / Downside | 280.78% | 298.36% | 316.61% |
| Ticker ⇵ | Company ⇵ | Dividend Yield % ▼ | Dividend Per Share ⇵ | Payout Ratio % ⇵ |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ORA | Ormat Technologies, Inc. | 0.42% | $0.48 | 21.81% |
| VLTO | Veralto Corporation | 0.42% | $0.42 | 11.39% |
| CEG | Constellation Energy Corporation | 0.41% | $1.52 | 17.38% |
| EXPE | Expedia Group, Inc. | 0.41% | $1.15 | 10.88% |
| GE | GE Aerospace | 0.40% | $1.29 | 17.08% |
| GEHCV | GE HealthCare Technologies Inc. | 0.40% | $0.23 | 5.05% |
| ATMU | Atmus Filtration Technologies Inc. | 0.39% | $0.20 | 8.42% |
| BMNR | Bitmine Immersion Technologies, Inc. | 0.39% | $0.12 | 0.85% |
| CHDN | Churchill Downs Incorporated | 0.39% | $0.43 | 7.61% |
| PLPC | Preformed Line Products Company | 0.39% | $0.83 | 11.03% |
| AAPL | Apple Inc. | 0.38% | $1.03 | 13.77% |
| AMOT | Allied Motion Technologies Inc. | 0.38% | $0.12 | 21.85% |
| CASY | Casey's General Stores, Inc. | 0.38% | $2.09 | 12.85% |
| EA | Electronic Arts Inc. | 0.38% | $0.77 | 21.92% |
| LOB | Live Oak Bancshares, Inc. | 0.37% | $0.13 | 8.44% |
| PCG-PA | Pacific Gas and Electric Company | 0.37% | $0.08 | 6.94% |
| CTS | CTS Corporation | 0.36% | $0.16 | 8.09% |
| GVA | Granite Construction Incorporated | 0.36% | $0.43 | 12.45% |
| LCORX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| LCRIX | Leuthold Core Investment Fund Class Institutional | 0.36% | $0.08 | 4.98% |
| UHAL | U-Haul Holding Company | 0.36% | $0.18 | 17.87% |
| BOX | Box, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.10 | 6.61% |
| HCC | Warrior Met Coal, Inc. | 0.35% | $0.31 | 47.04% |
| MCK | McKesson Corporation | 0.35% | $2.91 | 8.98% |
| CSWI | CSW Industrials, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.02 | 11.93% |
| MOG-A | Moog Inc. | 0.34% | $0.85 | 11.59% |
| SRBK | SR Bancorp, Inc. Common stock | 0.34% | $0.05 | 9.61% |
| VHAQ-UN | Viveon Health Acquisition Corp. | 0.34% | $0.04 | 17.38% |
| WWD | Woodward, Inc. | 0.34% | $1.05 | 14.70% |
| AGX | Argan, Inc. | 0.33% | $1.08 | 12.72% |
| PJT | PJT Partners Inc. | 0.33% | $0.56 | 13.70% |
| REGN | Regeneron Pharmaceuticals, Inc. | 0.33% | $2.59 | 6.06% |
| LPLA | LPL Financial Holdings Inc. | 0.32% | $1.16 | 11.15% |
| META | Meta Platforms, Inc. | 0.31% | $2.04 | 8.98% |
| ESAB | ESAB Corporation | 0.30% | $0.34 | 8.52% |
| POWL | Powell Industries, Inc. | 0.30% | $1.05 | 7.31% |
| VC | Visteon Corporation | 0.30% | $0.29 | 2.59% |
| WST | West Pharmaceutical Services, Inc. | 0.30% | $0.83 | 12.34% |
| CASH | Pathward Financial, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.21 | 2.52% |
| NGS | Natural Gas Services Group, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.10 | 6.71% |
| PLUS | ePlus inc. | 0.29% | $0.25 | 5.41% |
| RVTY | Revvity, Inc. | 0.29% | $0.28 | 14.01% |
| TMO | Thermo Fisher Scientific Inc. | 0.28% | $1.65 | 9.48% |
| MRVL | Marvell Technology, Inc. | 0.27% | $0.24 | 8.33% |
| VNT | Vontier Corporation | 0.27% | $0.10 | 3.64% |
| DBRG | DigitalBridge Group, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.04 | 9.84% |
| FOUR | Shift4 Payments, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.16 | 7.44% |
| GOOG | Alphabet Inc. | 0.26% | $0.82 | 8.01% |
| TPB | Turning Point Brands, Inc. | 0.26% | $0.29 | 10.22% |
| USB-PA | U.S. Bancorp PERP PFD SER A | 0.26% | $2.02 | 43.68% |