Definitive Analysis
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Definitive Analysis

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CellaVision AB (publ) (CEVI.ST)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Medical - DevicesSector: Healthcare

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$249.88 - $1,262.42$517.07
Multi-Stage$138.50 - $151.40$144.83
Blended Fair Value$330.95
Current Price$172.60
Upside91.75%
DecisionBuy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2024202320222021202020192018201720162015
DPS8.45%16.23%2.252.252.000.750.001.501.501.501.501.00
YoY Growth--0.00%12.50%166.66%0.00%-100.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%50.00%100.00%
Dividend Yield--1.35%0.95%1.08%0.24%0.00%0.61%0.54%1.09%1.22%2.00%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)151.41
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)59.63
(=) Cash Retained (M)91.78
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)30.2818.9311.36
Cash Retained (M)91.7891.7891.78
(-) Cash Required (M)-30.28-18.93-11.36
(=) Excess Retained (M)61.5072.8580.42
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)23.8523.8523.85
(=) Excess Retained per Share2.583.053.37
LTM Dividend per Share2.502.502.50
(+) Excess Retained per Share2.583.053.37
(=) Adjusted Dividend5.085.555.87
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Fair Value$249.88$517.07$1,262.42
Upside / Downside44.78%199.58%631.41%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)151.41161.25171.73182.89194.78207.44213.66
Payout Ratio39.38%49.51%59.63%69.75%79.88%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)59.6379.83102.40127.57155.58186.69197.64

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate7.64%7.64%7.64%
Growth Rate5.50%6.50%7.50%
Year 1 PV (M)73.4674.1674.86
Year 2 PV (M)86.7288.3790.04
Year 3 PV (M)99.42102.28105.19
Year 4 PV (M)111.59115.88120.29
Year 5 PV (M)123.22129.18135.36
PV of Terminal Value (M)2,808.922,944.593,085.46
Equity Value (M)3,303.343,454.463,611.19
Shares Outstanding (M)23.8523.8523.85
Fair Value$138.50$144.83$151.40
Upside / Downside-19.76%-16.09%-12.28%

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