Definitive Analysis
Definitive Analysis

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Cabot Corporation (CBT)

Company Dividend Discount ModelIndustry: Chemicals - SpecialtySector: Basic Materials

Valuation Snapshot

Stable Growth$84.55 - $149.62$112.09
Multi-Stage$84.01 - $91.85$87.85
Blended Fair Value$99.97
Current Price$76.05
Upside31.45%
DecisionDon't Buy

Dividend History & Growth Metrics (10Y)

Metric5Y CAGR10Y CAGR2025202420232022202120202019201820172016
DPS3.71%5.54%1.771.721.631.551.481.481.481.481.421.20
YoY Growth--3.23%5.68%4.76%5.00%0.00%0.00%0.00%3.90%18.46%16.07%
Dividend Yield--2.33%1.88%1.95%2.32%2.63%3.29%3.11%3.44%2.31%2.38%

Stable Growth Model (Adjusted)

(USD in Millions except Per Share Data)
Net Income To Common (M)331.00
(-) Cash Dividends Paid (M)96.00
(=) Cash Retained (M)235.00
MetricLOWBASEHIGH
Required Retention Ratio20.0%12.5%7.5%
(=) Cash Required (M)66.2041.3824.83
Cash Retained (M)235.00235.00235.00
(-) Cash Required (M)-66.20-41.38-24.83
(=) Excess Retained (M)168.80193.63210.18
(/) Shares Outstanding (M)54.1554.1554.15
(=) Excess Retained per Share3.123.583.88
LTM Dividend per Share1.771.771.77
(+) Excess Retained per Share3.123.583.88
(=) Adjusted Dividend4.895.355.65
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate3.54%4.54%5.54%
Fair Value$84.55$112.09$149.62
Upside / Downside11.18%47.39%96.74%

Multi-Stage Model: Projections

(USD in Millions)
MetricTTMDec-27Dec-28Dec-29Dec-30Dec-31Terminal
Net Income (M)331.00346.02361.72378.14395.30413.23425.63
Payout Ratio29.00%41.20%53.40%65.60%77.80%90.00%92.50%
Projected Dividends (M)96.00142.57193.17248.06307.54371.91393.71

Multi-Stage Valuation

MetricLOWBASEHIGH
WACC / Discount Rate9.53%9.53%9.53%
Growth Rate3.54%4.54%5.54%
Year 1 PV (M)128.92130.17131.41
Year 2 PV (M)157.96161.03164.12
Year 3 PV (M)183.44188.80194.27
Year 4 PV (M)205.65213.71222.01
Year 5 PV (M)224.89235.97247.47
PV of Terminal Value (M)3,648.013,827.624,014.23
Equity Value (M)4,548.884,757.294,973.51
Shares Outstanding (M)54.1554.1554.15
Fair Value$84.01$87.85$91.85
Upside / Downside10.46%15.52%20.77%

High-Yield Dividend Screener

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